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Environment Canada releases updated long-term summer forecast for B.C.

But locals shouldn't plan on a sunny stretch just yet.
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Photo: lifff___r / Instagram

While the province has seen a great deal of wet weather over the past few weeks, Environment Canada calls for above average temperatures for the remainder of the summer season.

But locals shouldn't plan on a sunny stretch just yet.

This week's Vancouver weather forecast includes plenty of dreary days, as well as some showers over the weekend. Further, this trend is expected to continue into early next week. 

Vancouver Is Awesome spoke to Armel Castellan, a Meteorologist with Environment Canada, about what the province has to look forward to for the rest of the season. 

"We had a dry February, a dry March, and a very dry April," says Castellan, adding that the department cancelled its most recent drought meeting. 

Castellan adds that May saw more precipitation, but that it was slightly warmer than usual. In fact, the province smashed 17 temperature records on Mother's Day.

The City of Vancouver reached a temperature 22.7°C, which didn't set a new record for May 11, but it came close. According to @YVR_weather, Sunday's temperature brought the city within 0.6°C of a new record. With this in mind, it felt a great deal warmer in the city on the weekend with humidity. For instance, the 3 p.m. humidex on Sunday was 23.4, which made it the second muggiest May 10 since the records began in 1953. 

Following May, Castellan notes that June was relatively wet across most of the province. He notes that people were largely staying indoors during the initial stages of the COVID-19 pandemic while the weather was dry. Now that people are venturing outdoors to commute to work, enjoy hikes, or go on camping trips, the Lower Mainland has seen a great deal of precipitation.  

With this in mind, Castellan says the Lower Mainland will see decidedly drier, milder weather in mid-July through the first week of August. During this time, he notes that the region will likely see warm daily highs ranging in the mid-twenties. Specially, the weekend from July 17 to 19 is expected to see above average temperatures and bright sunshine. 

As for the rest of summer, Castellan says Environment Canada has revisited its three-month summer forecast to include September. In it, he notes that models show above average temperatures. Right now, the forecast shows the Lower Mainland should see temperatures between 0.5°C and 1°C above average through the season. Of course, long-term forecasts consider that there will be cooler and warmer weather events, as well as drier and wetter stretches throughout the duration of the season.